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Latest FX Pulse Videos

Check it out and see our views on how FX trends move.

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9 June 2025

USD surged; US CPI in focus

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  • TRADE NOW TRADE NOW

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Pattern, QR Code, Stencil

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Not having an Integrated Deposit Account?
    Apply Now

    How do you want to apply for Integrated Deposits Account?

    *Only applicable to new Standard Chartered banking customers who do not hold any current or savings account with us. For existing customers, please login to Online Banking or visit the branch for account opening.

    Download SC Mobile, save a trip to the branch

    SC Mobile app download - QR Code

    App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google play is a trademark of Google Inc.

    Click here to learn more about Mobile Account Opening.

    Not applicable to:

    Cheque book service, products/services/applications that require handwritten signature are not applicable to account opened via SC Mobile App.

9 June 2025

USD surged; US CPI in focus

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2 June 2025

US payrolls in focus

Visit our Online FX Platform now and trade anywhere 24/7!

  • TRADE NOW TRADE NOW

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Pattern, QR Code, Stencil

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Not having an Integrated Deposit Account?
    Apply Now

    How do you want to apply for Integrated Deposits Account?

    *Only applicable to new Standard Chartered banking customers who do not hold any current or savings account with us. For existing customers, please login to Online Banking or visit the branch for account opening.

    Download SC Mobile, save a trip to the branch

    SC Mobile app download - QR Code

    App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google play is a trademark of Google Inc.

    Click here to learn more about Mobile Account Opening.

    Not applicable to:

    Cheque book service, products/services/applications that require handwritten signature are not applicable to account opened via SC Mobile App.

2 June 2025

US payrolls in focus

Latest FX News

Hk fxhub jpy mar

FX Weekly – 9 Apr 2025

JPY and CHF strengthened on safe-haven buying

The US noted that China has not lifted its retaliation tariff, prompting the US to impose a full 104% tariff on Chinese imports. The JPY and CHF continued to strength on safe haven flows. We see further upside risk for 100JPY/HKD. A break above 5.37 (USD/JPY: 144.5) could pave the way to test the next resistance at 5.40 (USD/JPY: 143.5). Similarly, CHF/HKD appears overbought and may test resistance at 9.31 (USD/CHF: 0.8330).

Hk fxhub cad mar

FX Weekly – 1 Apr 2025

CAD and AUD fell ahead of Trump’s reciprocal tariff announcement

US president Trump and Canada’s new Prime Minister Mark Carney agreed to resume trade negotiations after Canada’s 28 April national election. We maintain a near-term bearish bias on CAD. Any break of CAD/HKD below 5.35 (USD/CAD: 1.4527) will lead the pair to challenge its next support at 5.30 (USD/CAD: 1.4667). Australia’s weaker-than-expected retail sales in February supports near-term weakness of AUD/HKD, with the next support at 4.80 (AUD/USD: 0.6180).

FX at a glance

Key FX Highlights

  • We expect the USD to rebound in the near term before retreating over the next 12 months.
  • Tariff de-escalation can take the USD Index (DXY) to 103 over the next 1-3 months, but concerns about US assets are likely to weigh in the longer term.

For more details, you may download our latest Global Market Outlook.

FX Deep Dive

Currency: USD, GBP, JPY, AUD, EUR, NZD, CAD, CHF. CNY

USD

3m forecast: 103

12m forecast: 98

The bullish case:

+ Resilient US economy

+ Safe-haven demand

The bearish case:
– Trade uncertainty and widening fiscal deficits
– Waning investor confidence in US policies

– The Fed potential rate cut

GBP

3m forecast: 1.31 (GBP/USD)

12m forecast: 1.34 (GBP/USD)

The bullish case:

+ UK-US trade talks to reduce tariffs

The bearish case:

– BoE rate cut expectations

JPY

3m forecast: 150 (USD/JPY)

12m forecast: 140 (USD/JPY)

The bullish case:

+ BoJ’s rate hike

+ Surge in QT size

The bearish case:

– Delay in BoJ restrictive monetary policy

– Fading risk aversion

AUD

3m forecast: 0.65 (AUD/USD)

12m forecast: 0.66 (AUD/USD)

The bullish case:

+ Improving risk appetite

+ CNY resilience

The bearish case:

– China’s modest recovery

– Capped commodities

EUR

3m forecast: 1.08 (EUR/USD)

12m forecast: 1.14 (EUR/USD)

The bullish case:
+ Improving growth outlook in Germany
+Narrowing rate differentials

The bearish case:

– Lower ECB policy rates

NZD

3m forecast: 0.59 (NZD/USD)

12m forecast: 0.63 (NZD/USD)

The bullish case:
+ Monthly inflation rate rose; limit room for rate cuts

The bearish case:

– China’s modest recovery

– Capped commodities

CAD

3m forecast: 1.40 (USD/CAD)

12m forecast: 1.37 (USD/CAD)

The bullish case:

+ Improving factory hiring

The bearish case:

– BoC cuts rates

CHF

3m forecast: 0.86 (USD/CHF)

12m forecast: 0.85 (USD/CHF)

The bullish case:

+ Sale of FX reserves

+ Intervention risk

The bearish case:
– Easing global trade tensions
– Fading risk aversion

– SNB cut rates again

CNY

3m forecast: 7.22 (USD/CNY)

12m forecast: 7.40 (USD/CNY)

The bullish case:

+ China fiscal stimulus

The bearish case:

– Geopolitics

– Unfavorable rate differentials

Disclaimers

Important Note of Investment Products

Premium deposit, Equity Linked Investments and structured notes are structured products involving derivatives. Investment Fund is an investment product and some Investment Funds would involve derivatives. The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in that investment product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product is suitable for you having regard to your financial situation, investment experience and investment objectives.

Risk Disclosure Statement

  • Investment involves risks. The prices of investment products fluctuate, sometimes dramatically and the worst case may result in loss of your entire investment amount. Past performance is no guide to its future performance.
  • Investors should read the terms and conditions contained in the relevant offering documents and in particular the investment policies and the risk factors and latest financial results information carefully and are advised to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision.
  • Investors should consider their own investment objectives, investment experience, financial situation and risk tolerance level.

Foreign Exchange:

  • Foreign exchange involves risks. Fluctuation in the exchange rate of a foreign currency may result in gains or significant losses in the event that the customer converts deposit from the foreign currency to another currency (including Hong Kong Dollar).

RMB Deposit Service:

  • Renminbi (“”RMB””) exchange rate, like any other currency, is affected by a wide range of factors and is subject to fluctuations. Such fluctuations may result in gains and losses in the event that the customer subsequently converts RMB to another currency (including Hong Kong dollars); and
  • RMB is currently not freely convertible and conversion of RMB through banks in Hong Kong is subject to restrictions specified by the Bank and regulatory requirements applicable from time to time. The actual conversion arrangement will depend on the restrictions prevailing at the relevant time.

Disclaimer and Important Notes of Insurance

  • This webpage is intended to be valid in Hong Kong only and shall not be construed as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy or provision of any insurance product outside Hong Kong. Prudential and Standard Chartered do not offer or sell any insurance product in any jurisdictions outside Hong Kong in which such offering or sale of the insurance product is illegal under the laws of such jurisdictions. This webpage does not constitute a contract of insurance or an offer, invitations or recommendation to any person to enter into any contract of insurance or any transaction described therein or any similar transaction.
  • The material and information contained on this webpage should be read in conjunction with the relevant product brochure and for the risk disclosure, please refer to the product brochure.

Notes

  • This webpage does not constitute any prediction of likely future price movements.
  • Investors should not make investment decisions based on this webpage alone.
  • This webpage has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission or any regulatory authority in Hong Kong.

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