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31 August 2026

US policy intervention signals USD weakness ahead

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  • TRADE NOW TRADE NOW

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Pattern, QR Code, Stencil

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Not having an Integrated Deposit Account?
    Apply Now

    How do you want to apply for Integrated Deposits Account?

    *Only applicable to new Standard Chartered banking customers who do not hold any current or savings account with us. For existing customers, please login to Online Banking or visit the branch for account opening.

    Download SC Mobile, save a trip to the branch

    SC Mobile app download - QR Code

    App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google play is a trademark of Google Inc.

    Click here to learn more about Mobile Account Opening.

    Not applicable to:

    Cheque book service, products/services/applications that require handwritten signature are not applicable to account opened via SC Mobile App.

31 August 2026

US policy intervention signals USD weakness ahead

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24 August 2026

CHF strength reflects both increased safe haven demand and broad USD weakness

Visit our Online FX Platform now and trade anywhere 24/7!

  • TRADE NOW TRADE NOW

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Pattern, QR Code, Stencil

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Not having an Integrated Deposit Account?
    Apply Now

    How do you want to apply for Integrated Deposits Account?

    *Only applicable to new Standard Chartered banking customers who do not hold any current or savings account with us. For existing customers, please login to Online Banking or visit the branch for account opening.

    Download SC Mobile, save a trip to the branch

    SC Mobile app download - QR Code

    App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google play is a trademark of Google Inc.

    Click here to learn more about Mobile Account Opening.

    Not applicable to:

    Cheque book service, products/services/applications that require handwritten signature are not applicable to account opened via SC Mobile App.

24 August 2026

CHF strength reflects both increased safe haven demand and broad USD weakness

Latest FX News

Hk fx eur pn

FX Weekly – 1 September 2026

ECB Rate Hike Ahead? A Buying Opportunity in EUR

EUR/HKD has retreated towards the 9.0 level, offering an attractive entry opportunity. Germany’s inflation rose to 2.9% YoY in Aug, while ECB President Christine Lagarde has left the door open for a Sep rate hike. With several policymakers advocating pre-emptive action against inflation, we expect one additional 25bp ECB “insurance” hike this year, supporting the euro. Our 12-month EUR/HKD target is above 9.4. Position now to capture the euro’s potential upside!

Hk fx aud pn

FX Weekly –27 August 2026

What’s Driving AUD Strength in Aug? Rate Hike Expectations Rebuild

The AUD has gained over 2% in the past month. Australia’s July inflation came in at 3.5% YoY, beating expectations and strengthening the case for additional RBA tightening. Markets now expect interest rates to rise above 4.6% by year-end, which could provide further support for the Australian dollar. We see AUD/HKD potentially testing 5.9 over the next 12 months. Act now and capture the Aussie dollar’s upside momentum!

FX at a glance

Key FX Highlights

  • We have raised our three-month forecast for the US Dollar Index (DXY) to 101.5, up from 100. We see firm US growth, sticky core inflation and firm real yield differentials supporting the USD in the near term.
  • We expect the DXY to ease modestly to 99 on a 12-month horizon. We maintain our view of flat policy rates through 2026. Major central banks other than the Fed are in rate hiking cycles, which should eventually narrow interest rate differentials and cap further USD upside.
  • AUD upside risks remain. A still-hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia bias persists, with sticky spot inflation, an elevated real neutral rate and above-target inflation forecasts keeping rate differentials supportive. A minimum wage increase and resilient household spending underpin AUD strength.
  • We are modestly bullish on the NZD. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has signalled further tightening while warning that inflation is likely to remain sticky. A recovering PMI and upside growth surprises leave room for the NZD to recover further. Markets are now pricing in aggressive multiple hikes over the next 12 months.

For more details, you may download our latest Global Market Outlook.

 

As of 17 August 2026

FX Deep Dive

Currency: USD, GBP, JPY, AUD, EUR, NZD, CAD, CHF. CNY

USD

3m forecast: 101.5

12m forecast: 99.0

The bullish case:

+ Resilient US economy

+ Safe-haven demand

The bearish case:

– The Fed potential rate cut

GBP

3m forecast: 1.32 (GBP/USD)

12m forecast: 1.33 (GBP/USD)

The bullish case:

+ The domestic backdrop looks broadly balanced
+ Fiscal risk premium has been largely priced out

The bearish case:

– Subdued growth
– Easing underlying inflation
– Lingering autumn Budget fiscal risks

JPY

3m forecast: 162 (USD/JPY)

12m forecast: 158 (USD/JPY)

The bullish case:

+ BoJ’s rate hike

+ Surge in QT size

The bearish case:

– Delay in BoJ restrictive monetary policy
– Wide US–Japan rate differentials

AUD

3m forecast: 0.74 (AUD/USD)

12m forecast: 0.75 (AUD/USD)

The bullish case:
+ RBA holds rates higher for longer relative to US
+ Sticky spot inflation

The bearish case:

– China’s modest recovery
– Capped commodities

EUR

3m forecast: 1.13 (EUR/USD)

12m forecast: 1.18 (EUR/USD)

The bullish case:

+ The ECB kept its implicit hiking bias alive

The bearish case:

– A firmer greenback

NZD

3m forecast: 0.60 (NZD/USD)

12m forecast: 0.60 (NZD/USD)

The bullish case:

+ RBNZ holds rates higher for longer relative to US
+ Aggressive multiple hikes priced in

The bearish case:

– Capped commodities

CAD

3m forecast: 1.39 (USD/CAD)

12m forecast: 1.39 (USD/CAD)

The bullish case:

+ Improving employment in Canada
+ Increasing household employment
+ Central bank’s hawkish Summary of Deliberations

The bearish case:

– Lower oil prices

CHF

3m forecast: 0.78 (USD/CHF)

12m forecast: 0.78 (USD/CHF)

The bullish case:

+ Holds rates expectation

+ Sale of FX reserves
+ Intervention risk

The bearish case:

– SNB cut rates again

CNY

3m forecast: 6.75 (USD/CNY)

12m forecast: 6.70 (USD/CNY)

The bullish case:

+ Firmer daily fixing CNY rate
+ Robust trade surpluses
+ China fiscal stimulus

The bearish case:

– Geopolitics
– Unfavorable rate differentials

Disclaimers

Important Note of Investment Products

Premium deposit, Equity Linked Investments and structured notes are structured products involving derivatives. Investment Fund is an investment product and some Investment Funds would involve derivatives. The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in that investment product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product is suitable for you having regard to your financial situation, investment experience and investment objectives.

Risk Disclosure Statement

  • Investment involves risks. The prices of investment products fluctuate, sometimes dramatically and the worst case may result in loss of your entire investment amount. Past performance is no guide to its future performance.
  • Investors should read the terms and conditions contained in the relevant offering documents and in particular the investment policies and the risk factors and latest financial results information carefully and are advised to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision.
  • Investors should consider their own investment objectives, investment experience, financial situation and risk tolerance level.

Foreign Exchange:

  • Foreign exchange involves risks. Fluctuation in the exchange rate of a foreign currency may result in gains or significant losses in the event that the customer converts deposit from the foreign currency to another currency (including Hong Kong Dollar).

RMB Deposit Service:

  • Renminbi (“”RMB””) exchange rate, like any other currency, is affected by a wide range of factors and is subject to fluctuations. Such fluctuations may result in gains and losses in the event that the customer subsequently converts RMB to another currency (including Hong Kong dollars); and
  • RMB is currently not freely convertible and conversion of RMB through banks in Hong Kong is subject to restrictions specified by the Bank and regulatory requirements applicable from time to time. The actual conversion arrangement will depend on the restrictions prevailing at the relevant time.

Disclaimer and Important Notes of Insurance

  • This webpage is intended to be valid in Hong Kong only and shall not be construed as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy or provision of any insurance product outside Hong Kong. Prudential and Standard Chartered do not offer or sell any insurance product in any jurisdictions outside Hong Kong in which such offering or sale of the insurance product is illegal under the laws of such jurisdictions. This webpage does not constitute a contract of insurance or an offer, invitations or recommendation to any person to enter into any contract of insurance or any transaction described therein or any similar transaction.
  • The material and information contained on this webpage should be read in conjunction with the relevant product brochure and for the risk disclosure, please refer to the product brochure.

Notes

  • This webpage does not constitute any prediction of likely future price movements.
  • Investors should not make investment decisions based on this webpage alone.
  • This webpage has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission or any regulatory authority in Hong Kong.

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