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FX Market Hub

Grasp the latest FX movements on-the-go
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23 July 2024

USD was little changed on political uncertainty

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  • TRADE NOW TRADE NOW

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Pattern, QR Code, Stencil

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Not having an Integrated Deposit Account?
    Apply Now

    How do you want to apply for Integrated Deposits Account?

    *Only applicable to new Standard Chartered banking customers who do not hold any current or savings account with us. For existing customers, please login to Online Banking or visit the branch for account opening.

    Download SC Mobile, save a trip to the branch

    SC Mobile app download - QR Code

    App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google play is a trademark of Google Inc.

    Click here to learn more about Mobile Account Opening.

    Not applicable to:

    Cheque book service, products/services/applications that require handwritten signature are not applicable to account opened via SC Mobile App.

23 July 2024

USD was little changed on political uncertainty

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15 July 2024

GBP rose on softer greenback and political stability

Visit our Online FX Platform now and trade anywhere 24/7!

  • TRADE NOW TRADE NOW

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Pattern, QR Code, Stencil

    Trade now via SC Mobile App

    For new and existing clients

    Not having an Integrated Deposit Account?
    Apply Now

    How do you want to apply for Integrated Deposits Account?

    *Only applicable to new Standard Chartered banking customers who do not hold any current or savings account with us. For existing customers, please login to Online Banking or visit the branch for account opening.

    Download SC Mobile, save a trip to the branch

    SC Mobile app download - QR Code

    App Store is a service mark of Apple Inc. Google play is a trademark of Google Inc.

    Click here to learn more about Mobile Account Opening.

    Not applicable to:

    Cheque book service, products/services/applications that require handwritten signature are not applicable to account opened via SC Mobile App.

15 July 2024

GBP rose on softer greenback and political stability

Latest FX News

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FX Weekly – 10 July 2024

NZD fell as RBNZ sent inflation easing signals

The RBNZ held rate unchanged, with expecting a decline in inflation pressures, the extent of the restrictive monetary policy will be tempered over time. NZD/HKD dropped nearly 1% to the 4.74 level. The recent low is at 4.58 on 19 April, 2024.

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FX Weekly – 5 July 2024

GBP/HKD is approaching 10.0 following a Labour party landslide

The UK Election exit polls confirmed pre-poll projections of a landslide victory for the Labour party, ending the Conservative party’s 14-year rule. GBP/HKD rose for the 6th consecutive day and is approaching 10.0. Its recent peak was at 10.28 on July 14, 2023.

FX at a glance

Key FX Highlights

  • Under our base scenario, the US economy achieves a soft-landing and the Fed cuts rates, albeit only once this year.
  • GBP/USD is likely to consolidate above its 6-month average at 1.27 over the next 3 months.
  • The BoJ’s gradual approach to quantitative tightening means the JPY is likely to stay soft near term.

For more details, you may download our latest Global Market Outlook.

FX Deep Dive

Currency: USD, GBP, JPY, AUD, EUR, NZD, CAD, CHF. CNY

USD

3m forecast: 106

12m forecast: 105

The bullish case:

+ Fed hawkish tilt

+ Safe-haven demand

The bearish case:

– US fundamental downside surprises

GBP

3m forecast: 1.27 (GBP/USD)

12m forecast: 1.25 (GBP/USD)

The bullish case:

+ UK election with positive new policies

+ Business activities expansion

The bearish case:

– Cooling of core inflation

JPY

3m forecast: 160 (USD/JPY)

12m forecast: 151 (USD/JPY)

The bullish case:

+ BoJ’s aggressive rate hike

+ Surge in QT size

The bearish case:

– Delay in BoJ policy normalization

AUD

3m forecast: 0.67 (AUD/USD)

12m forecast: 0.64 (AUD/USD)

The bullish case:

+ RBA holds rates higher for longer

The bearish case:

– China’s modest recovery

– Capped commodities

EUR

3m forecast: 1.06 (EUR/USD)

12m forecast: 1.07 (EUR/USD)

The bullish case:

+ ECB has no urge to cut rate with greater magnitude

The bearish case:

– Slower growth relative to US

NZD

3m forecast: 0.62 (NZD/USD)

12m forecast: 0.63 (NZD/USD)

The bullish case:

+ RBNZ holds rates higher for longer

The bearish case:

– Commodities prices retreat

CAD

3m forecast: 1.38 (USD/CAD)

12m forecast: 1.40 (USD/CAD)

The bullish case:

+ Canada housing market rebound

The bearish case:

– BoC cuts rates

– Lower oil prices

CHF

3m forecast: 0.90 (USD/CHF)

12m forecast: 0.86 (USD/CHF)

The bullish case:

+ Sale of FX reserves

+ Intervention risk

The bearish case:

– SNB cut rates again

CNY

3m forecast: 7.26 (USD/CNY)

12m forecast: 7.35 (USD/CNY)

The bullish case:

+ China capital inflows

The bearish case:

– Geopolitics

– Unfavorable rate differentials

Disclaimers

Important Note of Investment Products

Premium deposit, Equity Linked Investments and structured notes are structured products involving derivatives. Investment Fund is an investment product and some Investment Funds would involve derivatives. The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in that investment product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product is suitable for you having regard to your financial situation, investment experience and investment objectives.

Risk Disclosure Statement

  • Investment involves risks. The prices of investment products fluctuate, sometimes dramatically and the worst case may result in loss of your entire investment amount. Past performance is no guide to its future performance.
  • Investors should read the terms and conditions contained in the relevant offering documents and in particular the investment policies and the risk factors and latest financial results information carefully and are advised to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision.
  • Investors should consider their own investment objectives, investment experience, financial situation and risk tolerance level.

Foreign Exchange:

  • Foreign exchange involves risks. Fluctuation in the exchange rate of a foreign currency may result in gains or significant losses in the event that the customer converts deposit from the foreign currency to another currency (including Hong Kong Dollar).

RMB Deposit Service:

  • Renminbi (“”RMB””) exchange rate, like any other currency, is affected by a wide range of factors and is subject to fluctuations. Such fluctuations may result in gains and losses in the event that the customer subsequently converts RMB to another currency (including Hong Kong dollars); and
  • RMB is currently not freely convertible and conversion of RMB through banks in Hong Kong is subject to restrictions specified by the Bank and regulatory requirements applicable from time to time. The actual conversion arrangement will depend on the restrictions prevailing at the relevant time.

Disclaimer and Important Notes of Insurance

  • This webpage is intended to be valid in Hong Kong only and shall not be construed as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy or provision of any insurance product outside Hong Kong. Prudential and Standard Chartered do not offer or sell any insurance product in any jurisdictions outside Hong Kong in which such offering or sale of the insurance product is illegal under the laws of such jurisdictions. This webpage does not constitute a contract of insurance or an offer, invitations or recommendation to any person to enter into any contract of insurance or any transaction described therein or any similar transaction.
  • The material and information contained on this webpage should be read in conjunction with the relevant product brochure and for the risk disclosure, please refer to the product brochure.

Notes

  • This webpage does not constitute any prediction of likely future price movements.
  • Investors should not make investment decisions based on this webpage alone.
  • This webpage has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission or any regulatory authority in Hong Kong.

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